{"id":2623,"date":"2026-03-21T16:10:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T16:10:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/?p=2623"},"modified":"2026-03-21T16:10:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T16:10:39","slug":"stage-analysis-evre-analizi-nedir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/21\/stage-analysis-evre-analizi-nedir\/","title":{"rendered":"Stage Analysis Evre Analizi Nedir."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Stan Weinstein\u2019\u0131n “Stage Analysis” (Evre Analizi)<\/strong> metodolojisinin temeli olan 1. Evre: Birikim (The Base Area)<\/strong>, bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin sona erdi\u011fi ve yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015fin haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 sessiz ama kritik bir d\u00f6nemdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Borsada sabr\u0131n en \u00e7ok test edildi\u011fi, ancak en b\u00fcy\u00fck f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n filizlendi\u011fi bu evreyi detayl\u0131ca inceleyelim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

1. Evre: Birikim (The Base Area) Nedir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bir hisse senedi aylar s\u00fcren bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften (4. Evre) sonra art\u0131k sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fckendi\u011fi ve al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yava\u015f yava\u015f devreye girdi\u011fi bir b\u00f6lgeye ula\u015f\u0131r. Fiyatlar art\u0131k sert d\u00fc\u015fmez, belirli bir bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yatay hareket etmeye ba\u015flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Temel \u00d6zellikleri:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  1. Yatay Hareket:<\/strong> Fiyatlar alt destek ve \u00fcst diren\u00e7 aras\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131r. Net bir y\u00f6n yoktur.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. 30 Haftal\u0131k Hareketli Ortalama (MA):<\/strong> Weinstein\u2019\u0131n en \u00f6nemli kriteri olan 30 haftal\u0131k MA, bu evrede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc durdurur ve d\u00fczle\u015fmeye (yatayla\u015fmaya)<\/strong> ba\u015flar. Fiyat genellikle bu ortalaman\u0131n etraf\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 sal\u0131n\u0131m yapar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. Hacim Karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/strong> Hacim genellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Ancak evrenin sonuna do\u011fru, “ak\u0131ll\u0131 para” toplamaya ba\u015flad\u0131k\u00e7a i\u015flem hacminde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck k\u0131p\u0131rdanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. Haber Ak\u0131\u015f\u0131:<\/strong> Genellikle \u015firket hakk\u0131nda hala negatif haberler gelmeye devam eder veya piyasada hisseye kar\u015f\u0131 tam bir ilgisizlik (sessizlik) hakimdir.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n

    Bu Evrede Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Ne Yapmal\u0131?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Weinstein’\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck uyar\u0131s\u0131 \u015fudur: “1. Evredeki bir hisseyi asla erkenden almay\u0131n.”<\/strong> Bunun iki temel sebebi vard\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Zaman Maliyeti:<\/strong> Bir hisse 1. Evre’de aylarca, hatta y\u0131llarca kalabilir. Paran\u0131z\u0131n bu \u00f6l\u00fc b\u00f6lgede hapsolmas\u0131n\u0131 istemezsiniz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Sahte Dipler:<\/strong> Hisse yatay seyrediyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de bazen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m yaparak 4. Evre’ye (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe) devam edebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Strateji:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • \u0130zleme Listesi:<\/strong> Bu evredeki hisseleri portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcze de\u011fil, “yak\u0131n takip listesine”<\/strong> almal\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Diren\u00e7 Hatt\u0131n\u0131 Belirle:<\/strong> Yatay band\u0131n en \u00fcst noktas\u0131n\u0131 (diren\u00e7) net bir \u015fekilde \u00e7izin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Hacmi G\u00f6zle:<\/strong> Diren\u00e7 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken hacmin patlama yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n\n\n\n

        1. Evre’den 2. Evre’ye Ge\u00e7i\u015f (Kritik An)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

        Ger\u00e7ek kar potansiyeli, 1. Evre’nin bitti\u011fi ve 2. Evre’nin (Y\u00fckseli\u015f) ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 “Breakout” (K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m)<\/strong> an\u0131nda gizlidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u0130deal Al\u0131m Sinyali:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • Fiyat\u0131n hacimli bir \u015fekilde yatay band\u0131n (direncin) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • Fiyat\u0131n 30 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine yerle\u015fmesi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • 30 haftal\u0131k MA’n\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011fim kazanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n

          Not:<\/strong> Weinstein bu a\u015famada “G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7” (Relative Strength) endeksinin de s\u0131f\u0131r hatt\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 veya g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini \u015fart ko\u015far.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

          \n\n\n\n

          \u0130pucu<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

          Hisselerinizin 1. Evre’de olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in grafiklerinizi Haftal\u0131k (W)<\/strong> periyoda al\u0131n ve MOV(C,30,S)<\/strong> (30 haftal\u0131k basit hareketli ortalama) ekleyin. E\u011fer fiyat bu \u00e7izgiyle i\u00e7 i\u00e7e ge\u00e7mi\u015fse ve \u00e7izgi d\u00fczle\u015fmi\u015fse, o hisse “Birikim” a\u015famas\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Borsaoku.com<\/strong> takip\u00e7ileri i\u00e7in bu evreyi “F\u0131rt\u0131na \u00f6ncesi sessizlik” olarak tan\u0131mlayabiliriz. Do\u011fru zamanda hamle yapmak i\u00e7in bu sessizli\u011fi iyi analiz etmek gerekir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          Stan Weinstein\u2019\u0131n “Stage Analysis” (Evre Analizi) metodolojisinin temeli olan 1. Evre: Birikim (The Base Area), bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2624,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"wds_primary_category":316,"footnotes":""},"categories":[316],"tags":[200,430,429],"class_list":["post-2623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa-okulu-2","tag-borsa","tag-evre-analizi","tag-stage-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2623"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2625,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623\/revisions\/2625"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}