{"id":2626,"date":"2026-03-21T19:07:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T19:07:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/?p=2626"},"modified":"2026-03-21T19:07:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T19:07:58","slug":"stage-analysis-evre-analizi-yukselis-evresi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/21\/stage-analysis-evre-analizi-yukselis-evresi\/","title":{"rendered":"Stage Analysis Evre Analizi Y\u00fckseli\u015f Evresi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

2. Evre: Y\u00fckseli\u015f (The Advancing Phase) Nedir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bu evre, hissenin aylarca s\u00fcren yatay band\u0131 (1. Evre) y\u00fcksek hacimle yukar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131yla ba\u015flar. Art\u0131k “ak\u0131ll\u0131 para” pozisyonunu alm\u0131\u015f, talep arz\u0131 tamamen ele ge\u00e7irmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Temel \u00d6zellikleri:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  1. 30 Haftal\u0131k Hareketli Ortalama (MA):<\/strong> En belirgin \u00f6zelli\u011fi budur. 30 haftal\u0131k MA art\u0131k yatay de\u011fildir; belirgin bir a\u00e7\u0131yla yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011fim<\/strong> kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Fiyat Konumu:<\/strong> Fiyat s\u00fcrekli olarak 30 haftal\u0131k MA’n\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyreder. Sert y\u00fckseli\u015fler sonras\u0131 ortalamaya geri \u00e7ekilmeler (pullback) ya\u015fansa da, ortalama bir “destek” g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcr ve fiyat\u0131 tekrar yukar\u0131 iter.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. Y\u00fcksek Tepeler ve Diplar:<\/strong> Grafik \u00fczerinde s\u00fcrekli bir “merdiven” yap\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fur. Her tepe bir \u00f6ncekinden daha y\u00fcksek, her dip bir \u00f6ncekinden daha yukar\u0131dad\u0131r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. Hacim Karakteri:<\/strong> Y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00fcnlerinde hacim artar, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck d\u00fczeltme (kar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131) g\u00fcnlerinde hacim kurur. Bu, trendin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n

    2. Evre’de Giri\u015f Stratejileri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Weinstein, 2. Evre’de trene binmek i\u00e7in iki ana nokta \u00f6nerir:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    A. \u0130lk K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (The Ideal Breakout)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Hisse 1. Evre direncinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 30 haftal\u0131k MA’n\u0131n yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilk and\u0131r. Bu, risk-kazan\u00e7 oran\u0131n\u0131n en y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu and\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Kriter:<\/strong> K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m an\u0131nda hacim, son birka\u00e7 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n en az 2-3 kat\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      B. Devam Eden Al\u0131mlar (The Continuation Buy)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      E\u011fer ilk treni ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131ysan\u0131z, Weinstein “u\u00e7an” hissenin pe\u015finden ko\u015fmaman\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6yler. Bunun yerine fiyat\u0131n 30 haftal\u0131k MA’ya do\u011fru yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 “pullback” (geri \u00e7ekilme)<\/strong> hareketlerini beklemelisiniz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Fiyat ortalamaya dokunur ve tekrar g\u00fc\u00e7 toplarsa, bu 2. Evre’nin devam etti\u011finin teyididir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n\n\n\n

        Ne Zaman \u00c7\u0131kmal\u0131? (Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Psikolojisi)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

        Bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, 2. Evre’de %20-30 kar g\u00f6r\u00fcnce “\u00e7ok y\u00fckseldi” diyerek hisseyi satar. Weinstein buna \u015fiddetle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar. Onun me\u015fhur kural\u0131 \u015fudur:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n

        “Hisse 30 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bu ortalama yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli oldu\u011fu s\u00fcrece pozisyonu koru.”<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        1. Evre aylar, bazen 1-2 y\u0131l s\u00fcrebilir. Bu evrede ama\u00e7, trendin sonuna kadar (3. Evre ba\u015flayana dek) hissenin \u00fczerinde oturmakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
          \n\n\n\n

          Matriks Gold \u0130\u00e7in Uygulama Notu<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

          Hisse taramalar\u0131n\u0131zda (Explorer) \u015fu iki \u015fart\u0131 aratman\u0131z sizi do\u011frudan 2. Evre hisselerine g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcr:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          1. Fiyat > MOV(C,30,S)<\/strong> (Fiyat 30 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde mi?)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          2. MOV(C,30,S) > Ref(MOV(C,30,S),-1)<\/strong> (30 haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc yukar\u0131 m\u0131?)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

            2. Evre: Y\u00fckseli\u015f (The Advancing Phase) Nedir? Bu evre, hissenin aylarca s\u00fcren yatay band\u0131 (1. Evre) y\u00fcksek hacimle<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2627,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"wds_primary_category":316,"footnotes":""},"categories":[316],"tags":[200,430,213,429],"class_list":["post-2626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borsa-okulu-2","tag-borsa","tag-evre-analizi","tag-indikator","tag-stage-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2626"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2628,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2626\/revisions\/2628"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.borsaoku.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}